Here are the main options for tackling greenhouse-gas emissions, listed by order of feasibility:
Energy efficiency:
Improve energy efficiency in transport,
buildings, appliances, lighting.
Advantage: Can make big, early gains in braking growth in carbon
pollution.
Disadvantage: Tougher standards may run into opposition from transport
lobby, costs may meet consumer resistance.
Clean renewables:
Wind, solar and hydro are the main
sources,
followed by biomass, geothermal, tidal and wave power. Hydrogen and fuel cells are
promising but still distant as a commercial source.
Advantages: Non-polluting, safe, free from geopolitical risk as the energy is
derived from within the country and not imported.
Disadvantages: Entry costs still high, although those of wind have fallen fast
and the efficiency of solar cells has improved; climate and geography may impose a
niche role; large hydro projects contested because of environmental impact.
Biofuels:
Transport fuel derived from plants saw a
spectacular
boom three years ago, driven by the United States' efforts to reduce its dependence
on foreign oil.
Advantage: Relatively low pollution. The plant sucks CO2 from the air in
order to grow, and this CO2 is released when the fuel is burned. Additional emissions,
though, come from using machinery to plant, harvest and process the crop.
Disadvantage: Present-generation biofuels are derived in part from corn,
sugar and other crops which has helped drive up food prices. Next-generation
biofuels, based on woodchips and fibrous plants, still only in pilot phase.
Carbon taxes and emissions caps:
Levies on coal, oil and gas
or
statutory limits on emissions from these fuels.
Advantage: Helps set a "carbon price" to reflect the environmental cost of
fossil fuels, thus encouraging quick switch to cleaner energy. With a carbon price of
$20-$100 per ton of CO2, renewables could account for 30-25 percent of global
energy supply by 2030, according to the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC).
Disadvantage: Could slow economic growth because of dependence on fossil
fuels; resistance from vested interests, consumers.
Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS):
Entails taking
CO2, the
heat-trapping by-product of combustion, at source from a coal-fired power station or
oil refinery and piping the gas underground, storing it in deep geological chambers
such as disused oilfields, rather than letting it escape into the atmosphere.
Advantage: Would smooth the transition from carbon to hydrogen energy,
especially as coal will be a major fuel for many decades to come.
Disadvantages: Still in pilot or small commercial phase; commercial costs
unknown or high; difficult to retrofit to existing plants; long-term safety unclear - a
chamber breach could send a dangerous bubble of CO2 into the atmosphere.
Nuclear:
Expansion of nuclear energy is being strongly
promoted as
a solution to the greenhouse-gas problem.
Advantages: Very low greenhouse-gas emissions during operational lifespan;
can reliably deliver very high volumes of electricity around the clock; geopolitical
vulnerability low.
Disadvantages: Safety still under scrutiny after Chernobyl and Three Mile
Island; fears about nuclear proliferation and terrorism; long-term storage of highly
radioactive waste still unresolved.
Geo-Engineering:
Projects aimed at preventing or reversing
global
warming that once were considered outlandish but are increasingly getting a closer
hearing. They include sowing the oceans with iron to encourage plankton to grow and
thus dissolve more of the CO2 that the sea absorbs from the air at its surface;
scattering particles in the upper atmosphere to reflect sunlight; and erecting a
"sunshade" in space to cool Earth by a couple of degrees.
Advantage: Would provide a quick fix to a problem that is evolving too fast
to be addressed by politicians and imbedded fossil-fuel technology.
Disadvantages: Safety, effectiveness and cost are purely speculative.
Demographic decline:
The world's 6.8 billion humans are
already
living way beyond their biological means. Without a technological revolution, carbon
pollution and resource stress will hit a crunch by 2050, when numbers are expected
to peak at as many as 9.7 billion.
Advantage: Voluntarily braking or reversing population growth among big
emitters would reduce the volume of greenhouse gases and thus gain time; among
poorer countries, it would mean fewer people are exposed to impacts.
Disadvantages: Hard to achieve without parallel rise out of poverty (in some
countries, large families are an old-age safety net); contraception and abortion
opposed by some religions; demographic constraints opposed in many countries by
natalist lobby.


